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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run on 46.1% of their chances: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (142 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Devon Achane's 54.1% snap rate this season illustrates a significant boost in his offensive usage over last season's 41.2% mark.
  • Devon Achane has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).
  • Devon Achane's ground efficiency has tailed off this season, notching a measly 3.12 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.32 rate last season.
  • Devon Achane has struggled more with grinding out extra rushing yardage this year, accumulating 2.27 yards-after-contact compared to a 4.94 rate last year.

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