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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.8% run rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).

This year, the shaky Colts run defense has been gouged for a whopping 150.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley.

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Devon Achane has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 53.3% of snaps vs just 41.2% last season.

Devon Achane's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates an impressive drop-off in his running skills over last year's 69.0 mark.

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