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Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-108/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 4.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 47.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New England's LB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Miami Dolphins may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Tyler Huntley.Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.While Devon Achane has garnered 49.5% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Miami's run game in this game at 37.3%.Devon Achane has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).
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