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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an impressive record of 64.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (91st percentile), Devon Achane rates among the best RBs in the league since the start of last season.

Devon Achane's rushing effectiveness (6.75 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (96th percentile when it comes to running backs).

With a stellar record of 4.60 yards after contact (97th percentile), Devon Achane stands as one of the most efficient RBs in football since the start of last season.

The Bills defense owns the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, giving up 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Miami Dolphins since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).

Miami's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially decreased (and running stats too high) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some regression with better weather this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.

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