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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Dolphins being an enormous 8-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to run on 46.2% of their downs: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The 6th-most plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average).

This year, the stout Raiders run defense has given up a puny 5.03 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Devon Achane's 57.5% Snap% this year represents a noteworthy gain in his offensive workload over last year's 41.2% mark.

Devon Achane has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (46.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).

Devon Achane's 4.0 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a meaningful drop-off in his running talent over last year's 7.3 mark.

Devon Achane's 2.87 yards-after-contact this season indicates a substantial drop-off in his rushing prowess over last season's 4.94 mark.

More Devon Achane Player Props

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