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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

The projections expect Devon Achane to be a more integral piece of his team's ground game in this game (43.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (27.5% in games he has played).

As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the importance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL last year.

Devon Achane has averaged 91.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (99th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 2nd-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Miami Dolphins.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.

The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.

This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans run defense has been torched for a massive 3.90 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 24th-biggest rate in the league.

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