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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-136/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Devon Achane to notch 4.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

With an extraordinary 14.4% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Devon Achane ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in football.

Devon Achane's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, averaging 3.8 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 2.5 last year.

Devon Achane's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.6% to 92.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.

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