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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -151.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Dolphins have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.

The projections expect Devon Achane to accrue 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Devon Achane's 17.5% Target% this year illustrates a substantial gain in his air attack usage over last year's 11.5% figure.

With an excellent 3.2 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Devon Achane rates as one of the leading RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have only 124.1 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 56.5 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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