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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.2% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects Devon Achane to earn 3.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • The Giants safeties rank as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 13-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 6th-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
  • The Giants pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.1%) versus RBs since the start of last season (74.1%).

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