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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

The Commanders defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) this year.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Washington's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game.

The model projects the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).

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