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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a whopping 62.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Devon Achane has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (53.4% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (43.4%).
  • This week, Devon Achane is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.9 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the projections to call just 60.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Devon Achane has accrued a paltry -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 19th percentile among RBs.
  • The Bills pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77.9%) versus RBs this year (77.9%).

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