My Account Log Out

reorder

Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Tyler Huntley.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Devon Achane is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 95th percentile among RBs with 4.5 targets.

Devon Achane has been much more involved in his offense's passing attack this year (17.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 52.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Miami O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

This year, the imposing New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a measly 3.5 YAC.

More Devon Achane Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™