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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Dolphins have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.

The projections expect Devon Achane to accrue 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Devon Achane's 17.5% Target% this year illustrates a substantial gain in his air attack usage over last year's 11.5% figure.

When talking about air yards, Devon Achane ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging a striking 3.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have only 124.1 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 56.5 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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