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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Miami's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially decreased (and running stats too high) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some regression with better weather this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.

In this contest, Devon Achane is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 97th percentile among running backs with 5.3 targets.

The leading projections forecast Devon Achane to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game in this week's game (15.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (9.5% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Miami Dolphins since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).

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