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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Devon Achane has gone out for more passes this year (57.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (43.4%).

In this contest, Devon Achane is forecasted by the model to place in the 99th percentile among RBs with 5.8 targets.

Devon Achane's 36.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a remarkable gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 20.0 mark.

Devon Achane's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 75.7% to 94.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In regards to air yards, Devon Achane grades out in the measly 7th percentile among RBs this year, with just -5.0 per game.

This year, the formidable New England Patriots defense has given up a mere 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 4th-fewest in football.

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