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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average).

The model projects Devon Achane to accumulate 6.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Devon Achane's 17.0% Target% this year marks a substantial growth in his passing offense volume over last year's 11.5% figure.

Devon Achane's 36.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents an impressive progression in his receiving talent over last season's 20.0 rate.

Devon Achane's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 75.6% to 94.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Dolphins being an enormous 8-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.

Devon Achane has put up a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile among running backs.

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