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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this game, Devon Achane is expected by the model to land in the 99th percentile among RBs with 6.5 targets.

Devon Achane has been a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack this season (16.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (11.5%).

Devon Achane's 39.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a remarkable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 20.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 57.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.0 per game) this year.

Devon Achane has accrued a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among RBs.

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