Devon Achane Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Devon Achane

NFL · Player Props

Devon Achane

RB · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Dolphins as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Devon Achane has been one of the best possession receivers in the league among running backs, catching a terrific 100.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 100th percentile.
Devon Achane has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football among RBs, averaging a stellar 8.09 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 86th percentile.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in football.
In divying up his team's air yards this year, Devon Achane has only garned a paltry -2.4%, ranking him in the 24th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, giving up 5.36 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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