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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Devon Achane is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.4 targets.
  • Devon Achane's 12.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 77th percentile for RBs.
  • Devon Achane has been one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an exceptional 19.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.
  • With a fantastic 7.6 adjusted yards per target (80th percentile) this year, Devon Achane stands as one of the best pass-catching RBs in the NFL.
  • Devon Achane checks in as one of the top running backs in football at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a fantastic 10.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 80th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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