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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

The Commanders defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) this year.

Devon Achane grades out as one of the most effective pass-catchers in football when it comes to RBs, averaging an impressive 7.83 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Devon Achane checks in as one of the top running backs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging an excellent 10.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 77th percentile.

This year, the feeble Commanders defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a monstrous 6.62 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game.

The model projects the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).

When it comes to air yards, Devon Achane ranks in just the 13th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-fewest in football.

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