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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Dolphins to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.8% run rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley.
  • This week's line implies a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Devon Achane has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 53.3% of snaps vs just 41.2% last season.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Indianapolis's group of DTs has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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