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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 44.5% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Devon Achane has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this year (41.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (31.2%).

The Patriots safeties grade out as the 30th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

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