Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Dolphins are a giant 13-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects Devon Achane to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (45.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.8% in games he has played).
The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
Favors Under
The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 6th-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.
The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.