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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

The projections expect Devon Achane to be a more integral piece of his team's ground game in this game (43.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (27.5% in games he has played).

As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the importance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL last year.

The Titans defensive ends project as the 4th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 2nd-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Miami Dolphins.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.

The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.

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