Devin Singletary Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-122).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The New York Giants will be rolling out backup QB J.J. McCarthy this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The Giants have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
Devin Singletary has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 12.5% this year, which ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Favors Under
This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 3 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Giants to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 46.1% red zone run rate.
While Devin Singletary has earned 6.7% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New York's ground game near the end zone in this week's game at 61.3%.
When talking about air yards, Devin Singletary ranks in the measly 5th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -8.0 per game.