Devin Singletary Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
At the present time, the 6th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.
The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).

Favors Under

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
After accounting for 44.9% of his team's carries last year, Devin Singletary has been called on less the run game this year, currently comprising just 16.0%.
The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football last year at run-game blocking.
Devin Singletary has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (20.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
Devin Singletary's 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a a remarkable drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 4.8 mark.

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