Devin Singletary Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 77.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 72.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Houston Texans offensive scheme to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
With a 5.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
Right now, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football (41.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Texans.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 132.0 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
The Houston Texans have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year at blocking for rushers.
Devin Singletary's 41.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his running proficiency over last season's 54.0 figure.
Devin Singletary's running efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.84 rate last season.

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