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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Devin Singletary Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+129/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.5 plays per game.

Devin Singletary has been given 41.7% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.5% red zone run rate.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Devin Singletary has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in football among running backs (1st percentile).

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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