Devin Singletary Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Houston Texans

Receptions

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
The predictive model expects Devin Singletary to accumulate 3.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
Our trusted projections expect Devin Singletary to be much more involved in his team's pass attack this week (9.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Devin Singletary's receiving talent has worsened this year, compiling a measly 1.0 adjusted catches compared to 2.4 last year.

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