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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-154/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 132.0 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (84.3%) versus running backs this year (84.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Houston Texans offensive scheme to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 32.6 per game) this year.
  • Devin Singletary has been less involved as a potential target this season (38.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (56.0%).

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