Devin Singletary Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 3, 2023 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to garner 2.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
Devin Singletary has been among the leading running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 2.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Devin Singletary has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 66.7% of snaps compared to just 56.1% last year.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Devin Singletary's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 84.7% to 80.0%.

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