Devin Singletary Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 70.6% pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
Devin Singletary has been among the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 2.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Bills are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.77 seconds per snap.
Devin Singletary has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 68.0% of snaps compared to just 56.1% last season.
The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Miami Dolphins pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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