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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 132.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • The Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
  • Devin Singletary has been less involved as a potential target this year (41.6% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (56.0%).
  • Devin Singletary has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
  • Devin Singletary's 4.1 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a noteable drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 6.2 rate.
  • Devin Singletary's skills in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, notching just 5.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.58 mark last year.

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