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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.4 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.
  • Devin Singletary has run a route on 51.9% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Devin Singletary has put up a paltry 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 25th percentile among RBs.
  • Devin Singletary has been among the least effective receivers in the league among running backs, averaging a mere 4.83 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 20th percentile.
  • Devin Singletary has been among the weakest RBs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 5.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 18th percentile.

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