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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.7% pass rate.
  • Devin Singletary has put up many more receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (14.0).
  • Devin Singletary's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this season, averaging 6.27 yards-per-target vs just 4.88 figure last season.
  • Devin Singletary's ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this year, notching 7.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.19 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
  • Devin Singletary has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, playing on 67.3% of snaps compared to just 56.1% last year.

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