Devin Singletary Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
Devin Singletary has posted a lot more receiving yards per game (20.0) this year than he did last year (14.0).

Favors Under

The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Devin Singletary has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 69.3% of snaps compared to just 56.1% last season.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The New York Jets pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (73.7%) vs. RBs this year (73.7%).

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