Devin Singletary Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving TD

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+422/-940).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +439 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +422.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Devin Singletary's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 82nd percentile for running backs.
Devin Singletary's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 82.4% to 92.1%.
Devin Singletary ranks in the 86th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.17 per game.
The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (10.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (76.9%) vs. RBs this year (76.9%).

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