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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+422/-940).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +439 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +422.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Devin Singletary's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 82nd percentile for running backs.
  • Devin Singletary's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 82.4% to 92.1%.
  • Devin Singletary ranks in the 86th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.17 per game.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (10.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (76.9%) vs. RBs this year (76.9%).

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