Devin Singletary Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 44.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
In this week's game, Devin Singletary is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.8 carries.
The projections expect Devin Singletary to be a more important option in his offense's run game in this game (54.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.9% in games he has played).

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Houston O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football last year in run-blocking.

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