Devin Duvernay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to total 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be much more involved in his team's pass attack this week (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.1% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Devin Duvernay's play as a receiver has gotten better this year, notching 3.1 yards per game vs just 2.1 last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 58.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.