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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Devin Duvernay has been a much bigger part of his team's air attack this season (14.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (8.0%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Devin Duvernay's play as a receiver has improved this season, totaling 3.5 yards per game vs a measly 2.1 last season.
  • Devin Duvernay's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 79.7% to 87.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

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