Devin Duvernay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Devin Duvernay has been a much bigger part of his team's air attack this season (14.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (8.0%).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Devin Duvernay's play as a receiver has improved this season, totaling 3.5 yards per game vs a measly 2.1 last season.
Devin Duvernay's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 79.7% to 87.3%.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

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