Devin Duvernay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-124/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (73.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (54.5%).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a terrific 80.0% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 98th percentile among WRs.
The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) versus wideouts this year (62.4%).
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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