Devin Duvernay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-166/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has been much more involved in his offense's passing offense this year (13.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (8.0%).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.7% to 82.9%.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.9%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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