Devin Duvernay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-186).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 68.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this week (13.8% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.0% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 79.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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