Devin Duvernay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+277/-473).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +289 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +277.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Devin Duvernay has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
Devin Duvernay has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
Devin Duvernay's 28.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 16.1.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.25 per game this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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