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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+326/-608).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +330 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +326.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • Devin Duvernay has compiled many more air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
  • Devin Duvernay's 28.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 16.1.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Devin Duvernay's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.7% to 83.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

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