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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+341/-659).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +433 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +341.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 68.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (15.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.3% in games he has played).
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Devin Duvernay has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 79.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets defense has allowed the 7th-least passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.76 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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