Devin Duvernay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+341/-659).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +433 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +341.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 68.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (15.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.3% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 79.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets defense has allowed the 7th-least passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.76 per game since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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