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Deven Thompkins
NFL · Player Props
Deven Thompkins
WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Receptions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 25, 2023 11:06 PM EST
NFL Props Deven Thompkins Receptions

Deven Thompkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +114.

Favors Over
  • The Buccaneers are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 63.7 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and their pass/run mix to lean 8.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) to WRs since the start of last season (60.9%).
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