The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.07 seconds per play.The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.DeVante Parker's 41.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 58.3.
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