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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions

DeVante Parker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -133.
  • The New England Patriots will be forced to use backup quarterback Bailey Zappe in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (71.4%) vs. wide receivers this year (71.4%).
  • The Detroit Lions cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.07 seconds per play.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • DeVante Parker's 41.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 58.3.

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