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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
DeVante Parker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+165/-225).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeVante Parker has run a route on 89.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
  • DeVante Parker has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.2 receptions per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 60.3 plays per game.
  • The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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