DeVante Parker Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+138/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -186 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects DeVante Parker to accrue 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects DeVante Parker to be a much bigger part of his team's passing attack this week (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
DeVante Parker's receiving talent has diminished this season, compiling a mere 2.3 yards per game compared to 4.5 last season.
The New England Patriots offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.